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Noche UFC 4: Silva vs. Delgado

Drakkar Klose vs Thomas Gantt

Prelims · Lightweight · UFC

Red cornerUnited States

Drakkar Klose

Record unlisted

Age
30
Height
180 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Lightweight
Streak
5-fight win streak
KO rate
33%
Sub rate
27%
Decision rate
40%
Sig. strikes/min
3.8
Strike accuracy
49%
Takedown avg
1.5
Takedown defense
81%
Control time
6:40 / fight
Opponent quality
76/100

Recent form

WWWWW

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnited States

    Thomas Gantt

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Lightweight
    Streak
    5-fight win streak
    KO rate
    16%
    Sub rate
    44%
    Decision rate
    40%
    Sig. strikes/min
    3.5
    Strike accuracy
    45%
    Takedown avg
    4.2
    Takedown defense
    75%
    Control time
    2:12 / fight
    Opponent quality
    56/100

    Recent form

    WWWWW

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Thomas Gantt

      Confidence

      63%

      Predicted method

      Decision

      Predicted round

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingThomas Gantt +13
      GrapplingThomas Gantt +30
      WrestlingThomas Gantt +19
      CardioDrakkar Klose +24
      ExperienceThomas Gantt +10
      Fight IQDrakkar Klose +26

      Why Raina made this pick

      Thomas Gantt is the more complete grappler here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.

      Drakkar Klose's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 63%.

      Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Drakkar Klose

      +228

      Market implied win %
      30.5%
      Raina's model win %
      37%
      Return on 100 staked
      +228

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Thomas Gantt

      -251

      Market implied win %
      71.5%
      Raina's model win %
      63%
      Return on 100 staked
      +40

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -8.5 pts

      Edge on Thomas Gantt

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      63%
      Market implied
      71.5%
      at -251
      Gap (model − market)
      -8.5 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Thomas Gantt higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Gantt by KO/TKO+26627.3%
      • Gantt by decision+20333%
      • Klose by submission+61014.1%
      • Fight goes the distance+4967.1%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · Noche UFC 4: Silva vs. Delgado

      Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Drakkar Klose vs Thomas Gantt

      Prelims · Lightweight

      Raina's pick

      Thomas Gantt

      63%

      Method / round

      Decision

      Distance (3 rounds)

      Line & edge

      -251

      71.5% implied · -8.5 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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