Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov
Prelims · Welterweight · UFC
Ignacio Bahamondes
“La Jaula”
17-7-0
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 191 cm
- Reach
- 191 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 48%
- Sub rate
- 5%
- Decision rate
- 47%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 6.2
- Strike accuracy
- 49%
- Takedown avg
- 0.4
- Takedown defense
- 71%
- Control time
- 0:14 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 67/100
Recent form
Muslim Salikhov
“King of Kung Fu”
22-6-0
- Age
- 42
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 178 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Streak
- 3-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 54%
- Sub rate
- 6%
- Decision rate
- 40%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.5
- Strike accuracy
- 47%
- Takedown avg
- 0.3
- Takedown defense
- 70%
- Control time
- 0:44 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 56/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Muslim Salikhov
Confidence
79%
Predicted method
TKO / KO
Predicted round
Round 3
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Muslim Salikhov is the more complete striker here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Ignacio Bahamondes's clearest path is landing early power before the fight settles - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 79%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a finish around round 3.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Ignacio Bahamondes
+324
- Market implied win %
- 23.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 21%
- Return on 100 staked
- +324
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Muslim Salikhov
-363
- Market implied win %
- 78.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 79%
- Return on 100 staked
- +28
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
+0.6 pts
Edge on Muslim Salikhov
- Raina's model
- 79%
- Market implied
- 78.4%
- at -363
- Gap (model − market)
- +0.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Muslim Salikhov higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 2.5 rounds
Over
+110
47.6% implied
Under
-135
57.4% implied
Method & distance markets
- Salikhov by KO/TKO+19533.9%
- Salikhov by decision+11546.5%
- Bahamondes by submission+26427.5%
- Fight goes the distance-1210.7%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · Noche UFC 4: Silva vs. Delgado
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov
Prelims · Welterweight
Raina's pick
Muslim Salikhov
79%
Method / round
TKO / KO
Round 3
Line & edge
-363
78.4% implied · +0.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.