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← Noche UFC 4: Silva vs. Delgado

Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado

Main Event · Featherweight · UFC

Red cornerBrazil

Jean Silva

17-3-0

Age
29
Height
170 cm
Reach
183 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Weight class
Featherweight
Streak
4-fight win streak
KO rate
52%
Sub rate
11%
Decision rate
37%
Sig. strikes/min
5.5
Strike accuracy
47%
Takedown avg
0.8
Takedown defense
70%
Control time
7:35 / fight
Opponent quality
80/100

Recent form

WWWWL

Recent fight history

    Full profile →
    Blue cornerUnited States

    Jose Delgado

    Record unlisted

    Age
    30
    Height
    180 cm
    Reach
    183 cm
    Stance
    Orthodox
    Weight class
    Featherweight
    Streak
    4-fight win streak
    KO rate
    53%
    Sub rate
    5%
    Decision rate
    42%
    Sig. strikes/min
    5.9
    Strike accuracy
    47%
    Takedown avg
    0.5
    Takedown defense
    72%
    Control time
    3:42 / fight
    Opponent quality
    68/100

    Recent form

    WWWWL

    Recent fight history

      Full profile →

      Raina's AI Analysis

      AI-generated
      On record since 2026-08-06

      Predicted winner

      Jean Silva

      Confidence

      70%

      Predicted method

      TKO

      Predicted round

      Round 2

      Upset potential

      Moderate

      Risk level

      Medium

      Advantage model

      StrikingJean Silva +19
      GrapplingJean Silva +12
      WrestlingJose Delgado +13
      CardioJean Silva +12
      ExperienceJean Silva +16
      Fight IQJean Silva +20

      Why Raina made this pick

      Jean Silva is the more proven finishing threat at this level: his power, pressure and ability to crack in the pocket give him the clearest path to a stoppage.

      Jose Delgado is taking the fight on short notice as a replacement, which limits his camp time and preparation against a dangerous, aggressive opponent.

      Confidence sits at 70% because Delgado is durable and can make it a grind, but Silva's early pace and shot selection should take over before the final bell.

      Confidence breakdown

      How Raina's 70% read is built. Each bar is how strongly a factor pushed the call, not a win probability - none of it guarantees an outcome. Vote on each factor after the result and the tally builds a record of which reads hold up.

      Power and finishing ability
      leans Jean Silva · 78/100
      Silva carries the fight-ending power in exchanges and has shown he can close the show when he finds his range.
      No votes yet
      Short-notice preparation
      leans Jean Silva · 64/100
      Delgado stepping in late limits his time to build a specific game plan for Silva's pressure.
      No votes yet
      Pace and pressure
      leans Jean Silva · 69/100
      Silva forces a high-tempo fight and can wear down opponents who are not fully prepared for his intensity.
      No votes yet
      Durability and scramble threat
      leans Jose Delgado · 52/100
      Delgado is tough and can extend the fight if he survives the early storm, creating some upset risk.
      No votes yet

      AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.

      Lines & market comparison

      Informational
      Odds updated Last updated

      Red corner

      Jean Silva

      -300

      Market implied win %
      75%
      Raina's model win %
      70%
      Return on 100 staked
      +33

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Blue corner

      Jose Delgado

      +270

      Market implied win %
      27%
      Raina's model win %
      30%
      Return on 100 staked
      +270

      Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.

      Model below market

      -5 pts

      Edge on Jean Silva

      0%50%100%
      Raina's model
      70%
      Market implied
      75%
      at -300
      Gap (model − market)
      -5 pts

      A positive gap means Raina rates Jean Silva higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.

      rounds total

      Over/Under 2.5 rounds

      Over

      +110

      47.6% implied

      Under

      -135

      57.4% implied

      Method & distance markets

      • Silva by KO/TKO+26427.5%
      • Silva by decision+28026.3%
      • Delgado by submission+60614.2%
      • Fight goes the distance+3176.3%

      Odds updated Updated

      Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).

      Share this pick

      On record

      UFC · Noche UFC 4: Silva vs. Delgado

      Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

      Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado

      Main Event · Featherweight

      Raina's pick

      Jean Silva

      70%

      Method / round

      TKO

      Round 2

      Line & edge

      -300

      75% implied · -5 pts

      Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.

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