Sean King III vs Jessie Rosas
Prelims · Featherweight · UFC
Sean King III
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 5-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 35%
- Sub rate
- 18%
- Decision rate
- 47%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 4.4
- Strike accuracy
- 44%
- Takedown avg
- 2.4
- Takedown defense
- 65%
- Control time
- 6:42 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 68/100
Recent form
Jessie Rosas
Record unlisted
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 180 cm
- Reach
- 183 cm
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Weight class
- Featherweight
- Streak
- 4-fight win streak
- KO rate
- 31%
- Sub rate
- 24%
- Decision rate
- 45%
- Sig. strikes/min
- 3.8
- Strike accuracy
- 46%
- Takedown avg
- 3
- Takedown defense
- 80%
- Control time
- 1:56 / fight
- Opponent quality
- 68/100
Recent form
Raina's AI Analysis
Predicted winner
Sean King III
Confidence
74%
Predicted method
Decision
Predicted round
Distance (3 rounds)
Upset potential
Low
Risk level
Low
Advantage model
Why Raina made this pick
Sean King III is the more complete all-rounder here, and the model gives that skill set the deciding weight over 3 rounds.
Jessie Rosas's clearest path is forcing grappling exchanges and stealing rounds from top position - a live route, which is why confidence sits at 74%.
Reach, stance (Orthodox vs Orthodox) and pace history all point to a fight that goes to the officials.
AI-generated analysis. Raina Cruz is an AI fight analyst, not a human tipster. Nothing here is a guarantee of any outcome. Informational purposes only - gamble responsibly.
Lines & market comparison
Red corner
Sean King III
-328
- Market implied win %
- 76.6%
- Raina's model win %
- 74%
- Return on 100 staked
- +30
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
Blue corner
Jessie Rosas
+294
- Market implied win %
- 25.4%
- Raina's model win %
- 26%
- Return on 100 staked
- +294
Bar shows the model, number above shows the market.
In line with market
-2.6 pts
Edge on Sean King III
- Raina's model
- 74%
- Market implied
- 76.6%
- at -328
- Gap (model − market)
- -2.6 pts
A positive gap means Raina rates Sean King III higher than the market does; a negative gap means the market is more confident than she is. This is a model-versus-market comparison for context only - not betting advice, and not a prediction of profit.
rounds total
Over/Under 1.5 rounds
Over
-125
55.6% implied
Under
+105
48.8% implied
Method & distance markets
- III by KO/TKO+13342.9%
- III by decision+17436.5%
- Rosas by submission+29425.4%
- Fight goes the distance-9749.2%
Odds updated Updated
Lines shown are a captured consensus snapshot for comparison only. Prices move, and Cruz Control does not take, place or forward wagers. If gambling stops being fun, stop - support is available at 1-800-GAMBLER (US) or GamCare (UK).
Share this pick
UFC · Noche UFC 4: Silva vs. Delgado
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Sean King III vs Jessie Rosas
Prelims · Featherweight
Raina's pick
Sean King III
74%
Method / round
Decision
Distance (3 rounds)
Line & edge
-328
76.6% implied · -2.6 pts
Raina Cruz is an AI analyst. Shared for information and discussion only - not betting advice.
Last verified . Imported by the automatic sync job.